
Warren Buffett stepped down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway but will remain chairman of the board and its largest shareholder. Due to his incredible investing success, he will still be known as the “Oracle of Omaha.” During Berkshire’s recent annual shareholder meeting, Buffett commented on this year’s stock market turmoil.
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He was unfazed by the recent volatility, telling shareholders, “What has happened in the last 30-45 days, 100 days, whatever this period has been, is really nothing.
Buffett provided a historical perspective, noting that the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit 381 in September 1929, nearly a year before his birth. It eventually plunged to 42, a decline of roughly 89%. He stressed, “This [the recent downturn] has not been a dramatic bear market or anything of the sort.”
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However, Buffett also warned: “You will see a period in the next 20 years that will be a ‘hair curler’ compared to anything you’ve seen before.
The world makes big mistakes, and surprises happen in dramatic ways. The more sophisticated the system gets, the more the surprises can come out of left field.”
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Buffett didn’t predict a specific timeline for a stock market crash but believes a significant sell-off will occur within the next two decades. He remarked, “That just happens periodically.”
The S&P 500 index has experienced 20% or more declines from its previous peak nine times since 1950, translating to a steep plunge on average once every eight years.
Based on historical trends, Buffett’s prediction seems likely to be proven right.